Counting Candles
How Your Age Can Help Determine Where to Invest
By Kara Stefan
It's
a common misconception that if you choose great stocks, your
portfolio will perform well. That theory doesn't always pan
out for the masses. What does work is a strategy called asset
allocation--which is simply spreading your money out across
various asset classes, including stocks, bonds, and cash accounts.
You see, a widely recognized investment study revealed that
approximately 91% of your portfolio's return is determined
by how your money is dispersed over these asset classes--not
by what stocks you pick, and not by when you invest.
By Accident, or By Design?
Every investor uses some form of an asset allocation strategy,
whether it's intentional or not. You decide where to invest
your money, and the result is the placement of some percentage
of your portfolio into each asset class.
Some folks go all out, and invest their whole portfolio in
stocks--whether in individual securities, stock mutual funds,
or a combination of both. This would account for a 100% stock
allocation and is considerably risky. On the other hand, some
investors may stick with ultra conservative investments and
place all their money in government and corporate bonds--for
a 100% bond allocation. This approach also entails risk because
the bonds may not earn enough to meet the investor's financial
requirements and goals.
The key to effective asset allocation is to strategically
place a percentage of your assets into each asset class for
the best performance results--and still be able to sleep at
night.
Birthday Allocation
Establishing your personal asset allocation strategy
requires serious reflection and soul searching. You have to
evaluate exactly what your monetary goals are, for now and
in the future. You should have an idea of how long you can
leave your money invested before you need to access it to
pay for a home, college, or retirement income. And finally,
you should know how well you personally weather volatile periods
in the markets. If you're inclined to sell as soon as prices
begin to fall, you should shy away from higher risk investments.
Once you've determined your investment goals, timeline, and
tolerance for market risk, you must translate that into an
asset allocation strategy. This exercise is best conducted
with an experienced and trusted financial advisor.
However, if you want to go it alone, some experts suggest
the following basic calculation to give you a very general
allocation split between stocks and bonds:
Subtract your age from 100. The resulting number is the percentage
of the portfolio that should represent your stock allocation.
For example, say you're 35 years old. Since 35 from 100 is
65, stocks should represent about 65% of your investment portfolio,
with bonds representing about 35%.
Keep in mind, however, that this is a generic trick of the
trade and does not take into account any details about your
specific situation. It's just a place to start. If you're
uncomfortable placing 65% of your money in stocks, you can
take a portion of that and put it into a cash account like
a money market fund.
If you're young and have ambitious financial goals, you may
want to raise that stock allocation even higher. If you do
so, however, remember to diversify your holdings to lessen
your risk. In other words, don't put 80% of your portfolio
in one stock. Mix it up among mutual funds or securities that
cover the spectrum of small, mid, and large cap stocks, and
even international securities.
The more you diversify, the less volatile your investment
will be. Some people argue that you also minimize your return
potential as well. There is some truth to this, particularly
if you diversify too much.
Ideally, you shouldn't change your asset allocation based
on market conditions, but rather only when your own financial
goals or circumstances change. For example, as you grow older
and approach retirement, you may wish to create a more conservative
portfolio in order to protect your investment earnings. This
scenario may call for a lower allocation of stocks and an
increase in bond and cash holdings.
Whatever you invest in remember that assets are allocated
either by design or by accident. But with over 90% of your
performance results riding on this decision, you've got at
least one good reason to count the candles on your birthday
cake.
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